BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 94 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-7) Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 128.60
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 153.44 52 7 1B 60 ( 2- 9) Western Carolina 24.83 20.17
2 09/10/2016 Home W 147.90 33 30 1A 36 ( 7- 6) North Carolina St 19.30 -16.30
3 09/17/2016 Away L 130.91 15 20 1A 75 ( 6- 7) South Carolina 2.31 -7.31
4 09/24/2016 Away L 118.69 17 54 1A 15 ( 10- 4) Virginia Tech -9.91 -27.09
5 10/01/2016 Home L * 119.93 29 47 1A 59 ( 6- 7) Central Florida -8.67 -9.33
6 10/08/2016 Away L * 132.51 22 38 1A 34 ( 11- 2) South Florida 3.91 -19.91
7 10/22/2016 Away L * 118.74 19 31 1A 92 ( 4- 8) Cincinnati -9.86 -2.14
8 10/29/2016 Home W * 158.35 41 3 1A 112 ( 3- 9) Connecticut 29.74 8.26
9 11/05/2016 Away L * 127.74 24 45 1A 33 ( 10- 3) Tulsa -0.87 -20.13
10 11/12/2016 Home L * 104.78 31 55 1A 89 ( 5- 7) SMU -23.82 -0.18
11 11/19/2016 Home L * 107.50 31 66 1A 46 ( 9- 5) Navy -21.11 -13.89
12 11/26/2016 Away L * 122.76 10 37 1A 29 ( 10- 4) Temple -5.85 -21.15
Averages 128.60 27.0 36.1
Best game: 158.35 = 38 point win over Connecticut
Worst game: 104.78 = 24 point loss to SMU
Team stdev: 17.09